The trend of the global epidemic has eased recently, and many countries have started to "unseal" the epidemic. As fundamental changes have not yet taken place in the global epidemic, the "disease-carrying" unlockout measures taken by relevant countries are more like a lucky gamble, with uncertain prospects for getting rid of the epidemic and getting on the right track for recovery.

According to a weekly report released by the World Health Organization (WHO) on September 22, the number of new confirmed cases and deaths in the week ending September 19 dropped by 9% and 7% respectively from the previous week, showing a steady and declining trend for more than a month. Meanwhile, countries from North America to Europe, from Argentina to Japan, are preparing or beginning to ease quarantine measures. Even the United States, which has been hit hardest by COVID-19, announced on Monday that it will ease entry restrictions on foreign travelers who are "fully vaccinated" against COVID-19 starting in early November.

From a purely scientific point of view, it is imprudent for relevant countries to quickly relax quarantine measures at this stage. Health experts in Europe and the US have repeatedly stressed that "unsealing" does not mean the COVID-19 outbreak is over, and infection rates are expected to rise for some time to come. The seven-day average number of COVID-19 deaths in the United States hit a six-month high, according to data released by the US Centers for Disease Control and Prevention on Thursday.

Europe and the United States are eager to lift the embargo, mainly due to economic recovery and election conditions and other pressures. In the United States, for example, more than a year after the government imposed international travel restrictions, international travel has shrunk 43 percent from pre-pandemic levels. Some estimates estimate that if the international travel restrictions remain in place until the end of the year, they will cost the U.S. 1.1 million jobs and cost the U.S. economy about $325 billion. On Sept. 22, the Federal Reserve forecast that the U.S. economy would grow 5.9% this year, down 1.1 percentage points from its July forecast. In Europe, the epidemic control measures frequently triggered public protests, which had varying degrees of influence on the election situation of the ruling authorities. The trend of election situation has become one of the important considerations for the epidemic control in European countries.

The analysis thinks, the other parts of Europe and the United States and other developed economies vaccination rates higher, making it to unlock measures under pressure to take any chances, as long as it doesn't happen to run medical resources, at the same time disease death rate can be controlled within a certain range, so "unlock spell economy" the gamble seems to be worth a try.

However, as netizens joked, "European and American countries have considered all possible factors except the idea of the virus." The lifting measures of relevant countries almost completely ignore the key problem that the epidemic may quickly mutate or rebound if it is not effectively controlled. Pressure on medical resources is emerging, and some people are making irresponsible remarks on countries that strictly control the epidemic, constantly creating public opinion.

On the one hand, with the coming of autumn and winter, the risk of a rebound of the global epidemic is very high, and some countries have already run out of medical resources. In the UK, where the ban was lifted earlier, more than 80% of people aged over 16 have completed their two doses of vaccine, but the daily number of new COVID-19 cases since August has continued to exceed 20,000, forcing the government to start planning for a possible rebound. A number of us states have seen record numbers of recent COVID-19 deaths and hospitalizations. The US state of Idaho has "rationed" medical resources for the first time, allocating "limited resources to patients with a 'chance of survival,'" US media reported, even as the number of people in the local intensive care unit has surpassed the peak of winter.

On the other hand, the U.S. and Europe should also be on guard against "dirty water" being thrown at countries that are strictly quarantined after the lifting of the embargo. Before that, some European and American media have been showing unusual "concern" and "concern" over China's strict control of the epidemic, claiming that China, the world's second largest economy, will be isolated for years. As a matter of fact, judging from the costs and benefits of epidemic prevention and control and the bitter lessons of Europe and the United States, it is not difficult to find that China's adherence to both extensive vaccination and strict epidemic prevention and control is truly scientific and reasonable. As Academician Zhang Boli pointed out recently, the fight against the virus is at a stalemate, "we should not take it lightly".